Popularity Contest among Canadian MPs on Facebook

According to The Globe and Mail, Canadian MPs are competing to see who can get the most friends on Facebook. So far Stephane Dion is in the lead with approximately 5000 friends while Prime Minister Stephen Harper lags behind with approximately 1500.

"NDP's Olivia Chow, who represents the downtown Toronto riding of Trinity-Spadina, joined in early February and now has more than 1,000 friends. Ms. Chow says she 'got a lot of friends really quickly.' She says she checks her own profile about once a week, receives regular updates from staff, and plans to list her favourite music - Coldplay - when she gets a chance." (globeandmail.com, May 4, 07)

MPs say Facebook can help them reach younger audiences, but not all provincial representatives seem to agree. The provincial government of Ontario has blocked access to both Facebook and YouTube from computers in the legislature and government offices.

Reactions to the ONI: A proposed typology of online censorship

On Friday, I attended the Open Net Initiative launch conference at St Anne's college, Oxford.  The report offered a systematic study of the extent of Internet filtering in a number of countries.  The discovery that filtering is occurring in 25 of the 41 sampled nations has rightly drawn quite a lot of media coverage (for example, BBC online and IHT).  If we accept the idea that the Internet has the potential to be a liberalising and democratising force (and that assumption is not as unproblematic as it might first appear, but that's a whole different blog post, so let's just run with it for a bit...), its potential to have real impact - especially on the most un-democratic and repressive regimes in the world - could be offset by filtering and blocking.

The research itself is a really interesting piece of work. It's outcomes are perhaps best represented topographically - as they are on the ONI website. These not only indicate the geography of filtration, but the type of content being censored. However, two important caveats need to be raised to the research as well. 

Firstly, it was very much work in progress (as was emphasised during the course of the day). Only 41 countries were surveyed and there is still plenty of scope for developing comparisons.  For example; to what extent do western countries also censure the Internet with regards to sexually explicit material (information on the map relevant to this is not derived by the ONI testing)? Even countries that were surveyed did not always get complete overage. The Russian survey, for example, really focused very heavily on Moscow. Local conditions across the country may be very different though. 

Secondly, as a data-based study, the work of the Open Net Initiative leads to a whole host of normative questions, which were certainly at the forefront of my mind over the course of the day. In particular, if we leave aside the revolutionary potential of the Internet in authoritarian states, and try to imagine our ideal liberal democratic society, we still have to ask whether there would be a role for censorship in it (a point raised here and here)? There are compelling arguments to suggest there might be - after all, if we want to enforce a libel law, prevent crimes of incitement or the sexual exploitation of minors. But could we ever trust a government to do it responsibly, or would they inevitably abuse that power? This, of course, is not a new question (Thomas Hobbes had strong views on the dangers of pamphleteers - not surprising given the circumstances of his lifetime), but the Internet reframes it in new ways. The example of sixteenth century makes another important lesson very clear as well - censorship, or sometimes the lack thereof, is inevitably the product of political and social circumstances; the two topics are inseparable.        

For this reason, I feel it is important to fit the work of the ONI into a wider framework of censorship and politics. The project focused on filtering; that is the use of technical measures to block access to specific web services. The most famous example of such a strategy is the Great Firewall of China. However, this only represents one type of censorship. Whilst attending a morning seminar with Professor Ron Deibert of Toronto University, I (slightly on the fly, I admit, as it had literally occurred to me then) sketched out a six-fold typology of censorship, which it might be worth thinking about in order to develop a multifaceted understanding of what is actually going on.    

typology.jpg

If we start at the very top level, there are supranational drives to censor. I guess the most notable example of these are multinational companies, especially those that are seeking to protect copyright and intellectual property. Additionally, attempts by the EU to regulate and control online activity would fall into this category (here's an example).

The next two levels are really those that concerned the ONI, as they represent the locations where most filtering occurs.  Obviously, as the report makes clear, a number of governments block Internet content they regard as distasteful. Additionally though, there is often complicity between governments and what I will term structural elements of the Internet - either organisations that allow individuals to connect online (ISP) or to organise information (most famously, Google in China). What is really interesting about these two levels is the inter-relationship between them. Are the wishes of the government made explicit? Are they regarded as a condition of entry into the marketplace? What degree of autonomy do these structural actors have to choose what is censored and what is not? The particular "solutions" imposed vary from place-to-place, and that in itself tells us something about local political conditions.

Going to the next level, we can also see institutional censorship exists. We will all be familiar with this from our office or education environments - some sites are blocked, whilst others are banned, with a threat of punishment and retribution for access. A recent famous example is universities cracking down on students accessing peer-to-peer sites that might be used for illegal downloads (although it should be noted that the universities were themselves acting because they feared legal action from powerful multinationals. This illustrates the possible interactions between the various layers of this typology).

We then hit on the last two levels of censorship, which are both really interesting, but are, I would suggest, really hard to measure as well. Censorship undoubtedly occurs in the domestic environment. Indeed, some ISPs try to sell their products based on the domestic censorship controls that can be set at home. And of course, it is conceivable that in some domestic environments, family members might be banned altogether from Internet access, maybe based on their age or even their gender. This form of censorship would be especially significant it coincided with societal-wide attitudes on the role of women, for example. Finally, we find self-censorship, where individuals decide not to view material based on some notion of what is or isn't deviant on the grounds of social norm. It is also possible that self-censorship is bought about by the fear of consequences.

A bit messy, I concede, but I would be interested to hear if anyone has any views as to its viability and whether it is worthy of further thought.

What's a digital watch?

 

Two stories today, which together are strangely reminiscent of the famous Not The Nine O'Clock News sketch where a member of the judiciary is displayed as being greatly ignorant of technology... in but one respect. 

The first story relates to Justice Peter Openshaw who, during a terror trial at Woolwich Crown Court, admitted he didn't actually know what a website was. The fifty-nine old said that "I don’t understand the language. I don’t really understand what a website is.” Attempts to explain the concept to him by lawyers appearing at the trial failed. The is particularly problematic, as the trial concerned the use of IT and understanding it was central to the prosecution case. In contrast, some other members of the bench have proved to be slightly more... adept... with IT. The Times revealed today that a secret list is held by the Lord Chancellor containing the names of judges and magistrates who have abused their IT facilities - including those who have viewed pornography. The existence of the list was admitted due to a request made under the Freedom of Information Act - although the names of the specific judges involved have not been released.

Although these two events don't seem that significant in their own right, they raise an interesting question. A lot of work has now been produced on the impact new technology is having on both executives and legislatures. As yet (at least as far as I know) very much less research has been carried out on the impact that new technology is having on the third branch of government - the judiciary. There can be no doubt that the Internet, as it has for almost everyone else, will alter the environment they find themselves in.     

 

New Book on Web Campaigning

Those interested in e-campaigning may want to have a look at The Internet and National Elections: A Comparative Study of Web Campaigning, recently published by Routledge (Randolph Kluver, Nicholas Jankowski, Kirsten Foot and Steven Schneider eds). The book tries to gain a ‘cross-national understanding of current and emerging impacts of the Internet on political practice.’

http://ipa.tamu.edu/projects/elections.asp

New Labour No More?

Interesting events over at the Labour Party website today, less than twenty-four hours after Tony Blair's resignation date is announced. The New Labour, New Britain logo, so synonymous with the Blair tenure has been completely removed.  Instead, a purple, stencil-style Labour rose is very much played up. Only time will tell to what extent this represents a major rebranding.  

NotNewLabour.jpg

Could Paul be the Dean of '08?

RonPaul.jpgThe Presidential nomination cycle for 2008 has already got off to a very early and excited start. However, it is worth remembering that there is still a very long way to go, and just because a few very high profile candidates are getting a lot of coverage, things are far from settled. If we think back to 2004, Howard Dean was nowhere at this stage, before blogging powered his rise through the ranks of Democratic hopefuls (or at least it did until January 2004). So there is certainly some sense in being on the look-out, both for a candidate who might buck the odds and an application that might allow them to do it.

It is highly unlikely, but it is just possible something like that is starting to happen.  The candidate is Ron Paul, ten term Congressman for the Texas 14th and the application Digg.  Unlike the other GOP high flyers, Paul is unapologetically on the libertarian wing of the party.  His exploratory committee website claims that he "[I]s the leading advocate for freedom in our nation’s capital.   As a member of the U.S. House of Representatives, Dr. Paul tirelessly works for limited constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, and a return to sound monetary policies."  He also proudly boasts about being one of only four Congressman to have endorsed Ronald Reagan in 1976.  It isn't hard to see why patter like this might appeal to Republican activists who haven't really found a candidate to fall in love with as yet (McCain - they always hated him; Giuliani - like the 9/11 stuff, but not so keen on his attitude to guns, gays and abortions; Romney - seems to be a flip-flopper, and that's before the "M word" has even be mentioned).

According the Biving's Report (and more here) Paul's supporters are using Digg to publicise stories about their favoured guy, giving him a clear advantage in this particular online environment.  Furthermore, this is translating into other places.  He now has 12,000 MySpace friends and an online ABC poll, asking who had won the GOP's first debate, was resoundingly won by Paul - a candidate, it should be remembered, who barely registers in opinion polls and gets very little mainstream media coverage.  Andy blogged recently on the power of collective action in a web 2.0 environment. It makes sense that similar patterns could emerge during political interactions, especially if a candidate has a number of ideologically motivated, active and dedicated supporters. The question is, as always, what impact will this translate in real electoral terms?

The odds are that nothing will come of this. Predicating American elections is clearly a mugs game - but I've had my money on Romney to be the Republican candidate for about eighteen months now, and I would still go with that. Paul's opinion poll ratings will probably remain very low. His approval ratings amongst the conservative right of the Republican Party probably won't take off (being true to his political creed, Paul is probably too libertarian for their tastes; he, for example, is against a constitutional amendment defining marriage). But, given the unpredictable impact new technology can have on an election, you never know.

"Peter, you've lost the news!"

A new media study by researchers at the University of Maryland brings to mind spoof news show The Day Today, in which Chris Morris’ news anchor shouted at his hapless field reporter Peter O’Hanra-Hanrahan for letting a Minister walk away from him in a live interview rather than answer a crucial question. O’Hanra-Hanrahan let the news “get away” and had to say sorry. The Maryland study indicates that RSS feeds from major news sites such as the New York Times or Guardian don’t actually provide all relevant news that’s on the site. If you checked site, or the newspaper, you’d get stories from wire organisations such as Associated Press (AP) and Reuters as well as the newspapers' own stories, but major news sites’ RSS feeds will only send you some content their journalists write themselves, and not even all of that. The study concludes that RSS feeds might alert you to breaking news, but readers should head to the news sites themselves if they want any detailed information.

Questions have long been raised about Lexisnexis, an archive service providing a database of newspaper stories. At first glance, it allows an apparently failsafe search for keywords in national and local newspapers going back many decades. It seems a brilliant tool for students and researchers. But colleagues have noticed that if you compare your search results for a newspaper edition in 1992 or 2004 with the actual physical newspaper on that day in 1992 or 2004, not all stories in the paper make it into Lexisnexis’ archive. So any studies based on a Lexisnexis search are in fact studies of content Lexisnexis staff has had time to digitise, not necessarily studies of what appeared in the newspapers when published. News has been lost.

If the invention of the train was also the invention of the train crash, as Paul Virilio has suggested, then is the invention of digital archives also the invention of digital data loss? Following his analysis of data transferral at the US National Archives and Records Administration (NARA) in Washington, DC, Barry Mauer argued:

As our society transfers its archives from print and analog media to digital media, an unintended consequence results; we lose a great deal of data. The effects of this data loss are profound; without access to our data, we lose our history, and thus our ability to function in the present is diminished.

Perhaps. Certainly the Maryland study reminds us of the perils of complacently thinking we are receiving comprehensive and reliable news.

Bon Chance Mes Amis!

 

At last, a fairly imaginative use for the PM's YouTube stream (English version here). Novelty is clearly a winner; this has already been viewed nearly 2,000 times. What would be interesting to know is what proportion of those viewings took place in the UK and what proportion in France.

Metrics of success

I always get carried away when I read something that excites me and tend to think, "Oh My God!  That is the future!".   And then I think about it a bit more, and decide it probably isn't after all.  I had one such moment this week when I read about the MySpace Presidential primary.  The idea is very simple.  On January 1st and 2nd, MySpace will give its users a chance to register there support for a particular candidate.  By holding it in the new year, MySpace will pre-empt the votes in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Real caucuses and primaries make two significant contributions to the nomination race.  Firstly, and most obviously, allocate delegates to a party convention, mandated to support a specific candidate.  Obviously, the MySpace primary won't do that.  However, the second contribution of primaries is more open - they generate momentum for candidates (hence the phrase "the big mo"), giving a sense of who is up and who is down.  This has a huge impact on the contests that follow.  Of course, momentum isn't just generated by formal primaries. There are a whole host of metrics that contribute to measuring how well a candidate is doing - financial donations, opinion poll support and whether they have managed to woo big supporters. When I first thought about it, it occurred to me that the MySpace primary could fit nicely into that system, giving it real significance.

However, I then thought about it a bit more.  I have to confess, my views waived when I read some responses to the idea in the blogosphere.  A large number of responses argued the primary would not be secure.  People could vote multiple times, be under the age of 18 or they might not even be an American citizen. Another common comment was that the people who would vote on MySpace would be unlikely to translate that into any other political action.  Actually there is some evidence to suggest the young Americans are more politically active than they have been in a generation (of course, the causation of this is disputable - technology or circumstances?). However, that's not quite the issue.

The real significance of online metrics (and thus how they might come to influence the offline elections) is to be found in the extent to which they are translated into the real world. The problem is that no one really knows what the impact of, for example, having 100,000 MySpace supporters is. Likewise, all the fuss about one million strong for Obama is only meaningful if the people who have signed up for it are actually going to translate that act into other demonstrations of support - for example, going out and canvassing. Some sites are less problematic. For an example of this, let's think about ActBlue, the Democratic fundraising site. The significance of a candidate being at the top of one of their league tables is due to the real money people are donating to put them there.  This money can then be used by a campaign, and therefore, at this moment in time at least, it has more intrinsic significance. We will only really come to understand the significance of social networking sites over the course of the election cycle.

"Segoland"

The 2007 French presidential election is just around the corner. There was one and only live debate between the two candidates on TV today yesterday. I didn't have a chance to watch the whole two and a half hours, but news updates on different websites and TV channels seem to generally agree Royal outperformed Sarkozy. I wasn't particularly following French politics when I was there, but as far as I remember, Nicolas Sarkozy was just everywhere. My friends half-joked by calling him Président de l'Intérieur. So I automatically assumed the 2007 election would be his one-man show. He is clearly the front-runner, but I am amazed - and naturally proud ;) - Royal is doing so well.

 

When it comes to e-campaigning, an aspect I cannot NOT look at, she even seems to be ahead of Sarkozy. I attended a Hansard seminar titled "The internet and the 2005 General Election: political awareness, participation and trust" two weeks ago. In the meeting, Derek Wyatt MP passionately demonstrated how cleverly Royal's camp mobilised bloggers. I had a further look when I came back home. Voilà, Ségoland.

Segoland

(Original map in pdf is here.)

They actually mapped all blogs that support her. James from the NPCU pointed out in the Q&A session that such networking was a typical socialist-party programme. I understand it is. Still, I find this attempt - what's the scholarly word - COOL.

 

(Reproduced from the original article on my website)